Tasmania’s Parliament Returns: Echoes of 1989, Crossbench Power Plays, and a Salmon Industry Concession

When the Tasmanian Parliament reconvenes this week—from Tuesday, August 19, 2025—parliamentarians and political watchers will find more than business as usual. The moment carries a striking historical resonance: observers note this week’s opening is “reminiscent of the first day of Parliament in 1989,” a day known for its unpredictability and turbulence caused by a large crossbench.

The stakes are unmistakably high. With the Liberals holding only 14 of the 35 lower house seats, they head into Parliament needing the support of crossbenchers to survive key motions—including a looming no-confidence vote, which Labor leader Dean Winter has confirmed will be moved upon reconvening

A key figure in the unfolding drama is independent MP David O’Byrne, formerly Labor’s leader, who has now declared his support for the Liberal Party—enough to tilt the balance toward a workable majority. He frames his decision as rooted in the need for political stability, ruling out backing a Labor government or taking on formal roles.

Simultaneously, Premier Jeremy Rockliff has proactively ordered an independent review of Tasmania’s salmon farming industry and paused its expansion. This concession—driven by environmental concerns, a mass fish mortality event, and pressure from Greens and other independents—aims to win crossbench support and avert parliamentary instability.

Between the strategic speakership battle, O’Byrne’s pivotal backing, and environmental compromises, this week’s return is set to be a high-stakes political crucible.

Morton, A. (2025, August 17). Tasmanian salmon farming expansion on hold as state Liberals order review ahead of parliament showdown. The Guardian; The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2025/aug/17/tasmanian-salmon-farming-expansion-on-hold-liberal-party-jeremy-rockcliff

‌Langenberg, A. (2025, August 17). When the Tasmanian parliament returns, it will be reminiscent of the first day of parliament in 1989. Abc.net.au; ABC News. https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-08-18/tasmanian-parliament-memories-of-1989/105660326

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